{"id":26279,"date":"2025-07-19T11:09:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-19T05:39:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/?p=26279"},"modified":"2025-08-11T10:41:01","modified_gmt":"2025-08-11T05:11:01","slug":"cmas-findings-on-google-metas-market-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/cmas-findings-on-google-metas-market-power\/","title":{"rendered":"Who Really Controls the Web? CMA\u2019s Findings on Google &amp; Meta\u2019s Market Power"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"lead\">On July 11, 2025, the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) published a set of documents evaluating competition in core markets like search engines and housebuilding. These include the Proposed Decision, and supporting annexes on Market Outcomes and Profitability Analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Below are the major findings from these documents,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TL;DR:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The UK\u2019s Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has flagged serious concerns about Google and Meta&#8217;s dominance in the digital advertising market. Together, they control over 80% of ad spend in search and social, making it harder for rivals to compete and for advertisers to get fair pricing or transparent data. The CMA\u2019s findings raise big questions about fairness, competition, and the future of digital marketing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-is-google-too-dominant-in-search\"><strong>Is Google Too Dominant in Search?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes. The CMA finds that Google holds entrenched, strategic market power in the UK search market and proposes designating it as a Strategic Market Status (SMS) firm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>(<em><strong>SMS<\/strong> stands for <strong>Strategic Market Status<\/strong>. It refers to a legal designation under the UK&#8217;s Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Bill for firms that have <strong>substantial and entrenched market power<\/strong> and <strong>a position of strategic significance<\/strong> in a digital activity in the UK. If a firm (like Google or Meta) is designated with SMS, it becomes subject to stricter <strong>conduct requirements<\/strong> to promote fair competition and prevent abusive behavior.<\/em>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-findings\"><strong>Key Findings:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dominant Presence Across Platforms<\/strong> \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Google commands more than 90% of the UK\u2019s general search traffic, firmly establishing itself as the primary gateway to online discovery.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mobile Supremacy<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>On mobile devices, Google\u2019s grip is even tighter \u2014 capturing up to <strong>97% of mobile search queries<\/strong> during peak periods. This mobile-first dominance is reshaping how users access information and how advertisers reach them.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>High Barriers for New Entrants<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Competing search engines face formidable challenges, from <strong>Google\u2019s powerful distribution partnerships<\/strong> and <strong>vast data reserves<\/strong> to its <strong>economies of scale in search ad monetization<\/strong>. These factors make market disruption extremely difficult.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The following graph shows a steep rise in monthly UK search queries on Google from 2017 to 2024 \u2014 a growth of nearly 60%. This underscores the platform\u2019s increasing centrality in user behavior<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"763\" height=\"487\" src=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-6.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26316\" style=\"width:600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-6.png 763w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-6-300x191.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 763px) 100vw, 763px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at the below graph, its revealed that Google\u2019s <strong>mobile search share reaching 97%<\/strong> during peak periods \u2014 underscoring its dominance on mobile devices.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"770\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26319\" style=\"width:600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-8.png 770w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-8-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-8-768x487.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 770px) 100vw, 770px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cGoogle\u2019s share of mobile general search queries is even higher, reaching 97% during certain periods.\u201d \u2014 <em>CMA Proposed Decision<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The CMA concludes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cGoogle possesses substantial and entrenched market power and a position of strategic significance in general search services in the UK.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What\u2019s next?<br><\/strong>A public consultation is underway. A final SMS designation decision is expected by October 2025, allowing for conduct requirements and other interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-profits-without-pressure-why-google-s-margins-matter\"><strong>Profits Without Pressure: Why Google\u2019s Margins Matter?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The below graph shows Google\u2019s revenue and operating profit (EBIT) from search services between 2022 and 2024 \u2014 both consistently high. Based on these, the CMA estimates Google earns <strong>over 40% return<\/strong> on the capital it invests in search.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"997\" height=\"661\" src=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26317\" style=\"width:600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-7.png 997w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-7-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-7-768x509.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cOur estimate of Google\u2019s return on capital from its general search services\u2026 is higher than 40%, using a sensitivity-based analysis.\u201d &#8211; <em>Annex C, para C.6<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>This return is <strong>well above Google\u2019s cost of capital<\/strong>, which the CMA estimates at <strong>10\u201315%<\/strong>. In plain terms: Google doesn\u2019t just profit \u2014 it profits <strong>without competitive pressure<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-barriers-to-entry-why-rivals-struggle\"><strong>Barriers to Entry: Why Rivals Struggle?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cBarriers that competitors face \u2026 include Google\u2019s distribution agreements, data advantages and scale in search advertising.\u201d \u2014 <em>CMA Proposed Decision<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Google\u2019s default placement on browsers and devices (via deals with Apple, Samsung, etc.), massive data advantage that fuels better ad targeting, and Ad tech scale, outperforms smaller players, making it difficult for alternatives to gain visibility, no matter how innovative or differentiated they are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Can AI Assistants Compete with Google?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Not yet.<\/strong> Despite the rise of generative AI, the CMA sees no material challenge to Google from tools like ChatGPT, Gemini, or Perplexity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cUse of AI assistants is currently very low when compared to Google\u2019s general search products\u2026 Google is also well\u2011positioned to ensure that AI assistants do not develop into a more sustained and significant competitive constraint.\u201d &#8211; CMA Proposed Decision<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Takeaway<\/strong>: Google\u2019s market position is <strong>unlikely to be eroded by AI<\/strong> in the next 3\u20135 years. Despite the rise of ChatGPT, Gemini, and Perplexity, the CMA finds that AI tools are not yet disrupting Google\u2019s dominance in search.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Is Meta Still Dominating Social Media?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cMeta accounted for over 70% of user time spent on social media platforms in the UK.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Highlights:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Meta\u2019s platforms (Facebook, Instagram) remain the <strong>primary gateways for social engagement and display advertising<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New entrants haven\u2019t changed the landscape: \u201cThe overall pattern of market outcomes remains stable despite new platform launches.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TikTok is growing, but ad spend and overall time spent still trail Meta significantly.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p> <strong>Implication<\/strong>: Meta remains the <strong>primary gatekeeper<\/strong> for social engagement and display advertising.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What Does This Mean for Digital Marketers?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Expect more scrutiny on <strong>ad tech ecosystems<\/strong>, particularly <strong>search and display advertising<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Google may face <strong>new limitations on bundling, data collection, and ad auction behavior<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Meta\u2019s dominance may invite <strong>future interventions<\/strong> aimed at creating space for emerging platforms.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diversification will be key<\/strong> \u2014 brands should explore alternative channels while monitoring how regulation evolves.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-additional-key-findings\"><strong>Additional Key Findings<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Opaque Ad Auctions<\/strong>: Advertisers lack visibility into how Google ranks and prices bids \u2014 a concern flagged by the CMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Data Access Asymmetry<\/strong>: Google and Meta\u2019s vast data ecosystems give them a <strong>competitive edge in targeting and attribution<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Stable Market Outcomes<\/strong>: Even with new platforms, <strong>Google and Meta\u2019s dominance remains structurally intact<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What\u2019s the CMA Planning to Do About It?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>For Google:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Finalize SMS designation by October 2025<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Follow with potential conduct requirements or pro-competition interventions<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>For Social &amp; Digital Ads:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Continue investigations under the <strong>Digital Markets Unit (DMU)<\/strong> framework<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Explore remedies to reduce barriers for smaller platforms and advertisers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Final Thought<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The CMA\u2019s findings make it clear:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><strong>Digital advertising is no longer a level playing field.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>With Google and Meta holding <strong>near-total control of key user pathways<\/strong>, marketers must be aware not just of platform performance \u2014 but also of the <strong>regulatory winds that may reshape the future of search and social<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5-683x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26307\" style=\"width:500px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5-683x1024.png 683w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5-200x300.png 200w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5-768x1152.png 768w, https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-5.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Is Google too powerful for its own good? Or do its profits reflect user value?<\/strong><br>Drop your thoughts in the comments \u2014 let\u2019s unpack what real competition in search might look like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source<\/strong> <strong>Documents<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.publishing.service.gov.uk\/media\/68598b13eaa6f6419fade67b\/Proposed_decision.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Proposed Decision (PDF)<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.publishing.service.gov.uk\/media\/6859812cdb8e139f95652e0a\/Annex_B_Market_outcomes.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Annex B \u2013 Market Outcomes<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.publishing.service.gov.uk\/media\/68598a4c9d116ab6d9eca7ce\/Annex_C_Profitability_analysis.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Annex C \u2013 Profitability Analysis<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On July 11, 2025, the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) published a set of documents evaluating competition in core markets like search engines and housebuilding. These include the Proposed Decision, and supporting annexes on Market Outcomes and Profitability Analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-googl-search-tips"],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Kirti","author_link":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/author\/kirti\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26279","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26279"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26279\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26432,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26279\/revisions\/26432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.karooya.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}